| | | | | | | Axios AM | | By Mike Allen ·Sep 29, 2020 | | 🗳️ Good Tuesday morning, and happy debate day (90 minutes, beginning 9 p.m. ET). - Today's Smart Brevity™ count: 1,154 words ... 4½ minutes.
🖥️ Join chief technology correspondent Ina Fried tomorrow at 12:30 p.m. ET for an Axios virtual event on trust and transparency online. Register here. | | | | | | 1 big thing: Life after Roe v. Wade |  | | | Alexis McGill Johnson speaks to Margaret Talev. Photo: "Axios on HBO" | | | | The future seems clear to both parties: The Supreme Court could overturn Roe v. Wade in the next few years, either gradually or in one fell swoop, and the abortion wars will move to a state-by-state battle over freedom and restrictions. With the Supreme Court on the brink of a more conservative tilt, two leading activists outlined the next frontiers for "Axios on HBO," Marisa Fernandez writes. Marjorie Dannenfelser, head of the anti-abortion Susan B. Anthony List, told Jim VandeHei her group supports the spirit of an Alabama law, put on hold by a federal judge, that's a near-total ban — threatening doctors with a felony charge and up to 99 years in prison. - Dannenfelser predicted that within a few years, an abortion case will make its way to the highest court — and begin to undo Roe.
Alexis McGill Johnson, president of the Planned Parenthood Action Fund, told Margaret Talev that the court "could certainly gut Roe, related to access to abortion," with 17 federal cases "a step away from the Supreme Court." - A Joe Biden presidency would be expected to protect abortion rights through executive action if a conservative court overturned the decades-old ruling, Johnson said.
- Johnson said activists would expect a Biden White House to blunt the implementation of restrictive state laws through Justice Department review, using the Voting Rights Act as a model, as Sen. Kamala Harris has proposed.
See a clip. Marjorie Dannenfelser speaks to Jim VandeHei. Photo: "Axios on HBO" |     | | | | | | 2. Axios-Ipsos poll: Americans won't take Trump's word on vaccine |  Data: Axios/Ipsos survey. Margin of error for total sample: ±3.2%. Chart: Axios Visuals Barely two in 10 Americans would take a first-generation coronavirus vaccine if President Trump alone told them it was safe — one of several new measures of his sinking credibility in the latest wave of the Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index. Given eight scenarios, and asked how likely they were to try the vaccine in each case, respondents said they'd be most inclined if their doctor vouched for its safety (62%), followed by insurance covering the full cost (56%) or the FDA saying it's safe (54%), Axios White House editor Margaret Talev writes. - Acting on Trump's assurances came in dead last (19%).
The big picture: With just five weeks left before Election Day, Week 26 of our national survey offers additional signs that trust in the president and his administration are continuing to fall over the handling of the pandemic. - Just 32% said they trust the federal government to provide them with accurate information about COVID-19 — down four points from a week ago, and a new low for the index.
- Trust in the White House fell to 28%, and trust in Trump himself fell to 27% — also new lows.
- Trust in Joe Biden is higher, but not exactly a vote of confidence: 47% of respondents said they trust him — consistent with past weeks.
40% of Republicans said they'd follow Trump's word. | | | | | | | | 3. Global virus death toll crosses 1 million |  The global toll of confirmed deaths from COVID-19 crossed 1 million last night, based on the tally by Johns Hopkins, Axios World editor Dave Lawler writes. - More than half of those deaths have come in four countries: the U.S. (204,762), Brazil (141,741), India (95,542) and Mexico (76,430). The true global death toll is likely far higher.
- Adjusted for population, Peru, Belgium, Bolivia, Spain and Brazil have had the world's deadliest outbreaks to date. The U.S. is eighth and Mexico is 10th.
The trend: Every day, approximately 5,300 coronavirus deaths are recorded around the world — a number that has held relatively steady since July (based on seven-day rolling averages). - At that rate, we could expect 500,000 more deaths by the end of 2020.
Share this graphic. | | | | | | | | 4. Trump tax returns exposé explodes on social media | | Data: NewsWhip. Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios Social media interactions (likes, comments, shares) about the N.Y. Times Trump tax blockbuster in the first 24 hours dwarfed activity generated by other major Trump-era investigative pieces, Axios' Neal Rothschild and Sara Fischer write. | | | | | | | | 5. Exclusive: Biden campaign blasts Facebook |  | | | Biden campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon writes Mark Zuckerberg. | | | | The Biden campaign is pressing Facebook to remove misleading posts by President Trump — and slamming the platform as "the nation's foremost propagator of disinformation about the voting process," Axios' Hans Nichols scoops. - "Rather than seeing progress, we have seen regression," campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon wrote Mark Zuckerberg in a three-page letter. "We will be calling out those failures as they occur over the coming 36 days."
Read the letter. | | | | | | | | 6. Prediction: Reparations could happen in next 10 years |  | | | Andre Perry speaks to Dion Rabouin. Photo: "Axios on HBO" | | | | Thanks to growing momentum and changing attitudes among Americans, Brookings Institution fellow Andre Perry predicts that, within 10 years, the U.S. will provide some form of reparations to Black people. - "What's happening in the streets today is indicative of the attitude change that is occurring in America," Perry, a scholar-in-residence at American University, tells Dion Rabouin for "Axios on HBO."
- "When I look out there, it's a much more diverse coalition than I've ever seen before. And so I'm encouraged that reparations is going to happen."
Why it matters to the market: Recent economic analyses by McKinsey & Company and Citigroup have both estimated that the racial wealth gap has cost the U.S. economy trillions of dollars, and will continue to hold back economic growth until it is closed. - Citi's global economists estimate that closing the gap would add $1 trillion a year to the U.S. economy over the next five years.
See a clip. | | | | | | | | 7. White House played down virus danger for kids | | Above is a slide — prepared by the White House, but never made public, after the CDC objected — downplaying the virus' effects on children and boosting the importance of reopening schools, the N.Y. Times reports (subscription). - "As part of their behind-the-scenes effort, White House officials ... tried to circumvent the C.D.C. in a search for alternate data showing that the pandemic was weakening and posed little danger to children."
| | | | | | | | 8. Media plans real-time fact checking for tonight's debate |  | | | Photos: Patrick Semansky/AP | | | | Above: A sneak peek inside the debate hall at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland. From live blogs to video chyrons and tweets, media companies are introducing new ways to fact-check tonight's presidential debate in real time, Axios media trends expert Sara Fischer writes. Nicole Carroll, the editor-in-chief of USA Today, tells Axios that the USA Today Network, including over 200 local news sites as well as USAToday.com, will live-check the debate in real-time across its live video feeds and social channels. - Experts include Indigenous affairs reporter Debra Krol from the Arizona Republic and longtime Biden reporter Meredith Newman from The Wilmington News Journal.
The Wall Street Journal launched a new tool called Talk 2020, which allows users to search a database of transcripts to find out what Biden and Trump have said about the issues over the years. What moderator Chris Wallace will see: Photo: Eric Baradat/AFP via Getty Images | | | | | | | | 9. Jonathan Swan asks Bob Woodward if he'll vote this year |  | | | Photo: "Axios on HBO" | | | | Bob Woodward tells Jonathan Swan for "Axios on HBO," when pressed about his conclusion in "Rage" that President Trump "is the wrong man for the job": - "I did not want to join the ranks of the Senate Republicans who know that Trump is the wrong man for the job but won't say it publicly. ... I was not going to hide. And I think there are too many people hiding about Trump."
Swan asked Woodward — who typically doesn't vote in presidential elections, to maintain journalistic objectivity — if he'll reconsider that stance this year. - "Oh, that's a good question. I don't know! I'll decide that Nov. 3."
👀 Watch the full segment! | | | | | | | | 10. Stanley Cup, won in a bubble | | Photo by Dave Sandford/NHL Images via Getty Images MVP Victor Hedman of the Tampa Bay Lightning hoists the Stanley Cup after defeating the Dallas Stars, 2-0, in Game 6 to win the series 4-2 in Edmonton. - "It's what you imagine all your life," said Hedman, a defenseman who scored 22 postseason points (10 goals, 12 assists in 25 games), per NHL.com.
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اللباس التقليدي الحضرمي للرجال مرحبا بكم في سلسلة اللباس التقليدي الحضرمي .. لنتعرف معا على تراثنا ...وربما أن بعض هذه الملابس لم تعد مس...
شغل الشاعر سعيد فرج باحريز رحمه الله الناس في المكلا وحضرموت عموماً باشعاره التي كانت لها مدلولات عميقة وثاقبة ومعانٍ بليغة وحكيم...
